Pundits Corner: AshantiGold to Wrap up 2014/2015 league with victory

This weekend marks a turning point in the First Capital Plus Premier League with only 10 matches to spare, Ashantigold SC hopes to consolidate their position on the top of the log with a clash between themselves and the second placed team (Aduana), Once again, Derek Dapaah looks at the permutations in the 8 matches

Medeama SC vrs Kumasi  Asante Kotoko

Medeama SC must also capitalize on this poor run of Kotoko in the league or else they should forget top 4. Kotoko have been in their worse performance over a decade and they don't know who  to be blame. Medeama SC are struggling to find their rhythm in the league as well as their opponent so we have a game to watch at Tarkwa. "The game of the survivors" is the name of this fixture. If last week's victory is a wakeup call for Kotoko fans, then they will surely go at it against Medeama. Asante Kotoko have a better head to head record against the Yellow and Mauves, and will seek to capitalize on that, but Medeama have been very good at home this season, and therefore, I will go for a point split for the two due to their abysmal league performance in the second round.

Dapaah predicts: Medeama SC 1:1 Kumasi Asante Kotoko

Last 5 matches:

Form guide: Medeama SC- DDLWL: 7th position

                      Kumasi Asante Kotoko- LLWLW: 8th position

Inter Allies vrs Great Olympics

Bad time for Olympics because they are just fallen short in their away matches. Olympics' bad run in the league, just came in the second round and it really creating a dangerous relegation zone for them. Allies gave their fans first victory in the second round at the same venue where Olympics will face them, Tema Sports Stadium. Inter Allies will make two(2) straight win on a row and Olympics fans will be angry at their board executives, that is why I said this fixture came at the wrong time. Allies to do it with a narrow victory.

 Dapaah predicts: Inter Allies 1:0 Great Olympics

Last 5 matches:

Form guide: Inter Allies- DDDDW: 10th position

                       Great Olympics- DLLLLW: 15th position

Ashanti Gold vrs Aduana Stars

This is my game of the week. If Ashgold beat Aduana this weekend then they are the Champions of this seasons league 2014/15. Aduana will be looking forward to close the points between them and AshGold which is impossible at Obuasi, whiles AshGold will be hoping to extend it. AshGold have been playing like they want to be Champions despite losing last week so I can't go at them when playing home. They know that if they beat Aduana, they are Champions so they will give everything out to beat Aduana come Sunday. AshGold will beat Aduana easy at Len Clay without any bad officiating to be crowned  Champions. Aduana already knows, they have nothing to achieve  in this fixture

Dapaah predicts: Ashanti Gold 2:1 Aduana Stars

Last 5 matches:

Form guide: Ashanti Gold- DWDWL: 1st position

                      Aduana Stars- DLWLW: 2nd position

WAFA vrs Heart of Lions

WAFA has nothing to lose in the league when the season ends because they have really impressed many football lovers. Sogakope will be a big problem for clubs from now till week 30 and it's starting from this weekend against Lions. Lions are in a big mess because they have been banned from home so they will share another points when they play next week. Lions will lose many points in their three(3) fixtures from now till week 23. Sorry for their fans. WAFA playing style is questionable but it hard for them to find the back of the net sometimes. I know Lions will do anything to steal a point  to avoid relegation but I don't see that happening. They will be in that zone for two(2) weeks.

Dapaah predicts: WAFA 2:0 Heart of Lions

Last 5 matches:

Form guide: WAFA- LDDWL: 5th position

                      Heart of Lions- WLDLD: 14th position

Accra Hearts of Oak vrs Sekondi Hasaacas

Hearts of Oak must win this to get their fans back and "Homowo" festival to starts in a grand style. Hearts are really struggling to get the results they want because their strikers aren't scoring and Herbert must change his style of play( play without a striker). Hasaacas are on top in this fixture picking 10 points out of 15 points whiles Hearts 6 out of 15 points, which is very bad. Hearts can lose this fixture if they don't take time because Hasaacas have what it takes to beat them at their own backyard, but Herbert will win this to limit the pressure on him. If Herbert loses this match I think he already knows that,  he will leavie his job as the manager/coach of the club at the end of the season. Drop your strikers and play a new system to get things back for Hearts. Hasaacas to trouble Hearts this weekend at the Accra Sports Stadium. Fans should go and rally behind their clubs.

 Dapaah predicts: Accra Hearts of Oak 2:1 Sekondi Hasaacas

Last 5 matches:

Form guide: Accra Hearts of Oak- DWLDD:

Wa All Stars vrs BA United

BA did their best to hold Accra Hearts of Oak last weekend in Sunyani but can they do that in WA? No. Wa All Stars will be looking forward to get back to their new position, 2nd after losing last weekend so they will capitalize on Aduana's away game ( Not  good at away matches) so BA won't stand to the occasion far away in WA. BA should just limit the goals they concede when going away and focus on their home matches. All Stars to win this comfortably.

Wa All Stars 2:0 BA United

Last 5 matches

Form guide: Wa All Stars- WLWWL: 3rd position

                      BA United- DLDLD: 16th position

Berekum Chelsea vrs New Edubiase

From the form guide, everything shows that this match can end in a draw or in favor of the home team. Edubiase must look at the form guide, everything shows that this match can end in a draw or in favor of the home team. Edubiase must use the strategy they used against Kotoko as their away tactics to get the point(s) they need. Now, they are battling for relegation and if they don't take care they will be relegated. Edubiase must do everything to end this game in a draw or else the relegation fever will catch them up. Chelsea won't lose this game because they want to finish this season in a grand style by being in the top 4 so I don't think they will let a point even slip from their own home.

Dapaah predicts: Berekum Chelsea 2:1 New Edubiase

Last 5 matches:

Form guide: Berekum Chelsea- DWLWD: 4th position

                      New Edubiase- DWDLW: 13th position

Bechem United vrs Liberty Professional

Despite Liberty's nice run in the second round of the league, they will fall against Bechem. Bechem haven't had their peak in the second round but they won't let Liberty go with a point. They want to avoid relegation so they will win their home matches and draw some of their away matches as well. Liberty can go at it but it will be a tough task for them. Bechem at home is dangerous like Aduana so we will have a game to watch. Bechem to win this for their fans to get them back to the stadium.

Dapaah predicts: Bechem United 1:0 Liberty Professional

Last 5 matches:

Form guide: Bechem United- LWDWL: 12 position

                      Liberty Professionals- DWDWL: 6th position

Projected First Capital Plus Premier League Winner: AshantiGold SC to win with 55 points

With just 10 matches to end the 2014/2015 First Capital Plus Premier League, Totalsportsghana.com has projected that AshantiGold SC will win the league with 55 points, leaving their closest contenders Asante Kotoko with 49 Points six points adrift  the top.

The analysis took into consideration the performance and trend of the league from week one to 20, and the data of the last 10 matches in the past 5 years of the teams currently in contention. With a 75% win and 25% draw in the league coupled with the fact that only 12.4% of the matches has ended in away wins, We don't expect any significant change from the trend, and believe if it continues as expected, then the miners will win their first League title in 20  years.

Below is their last 10 league matches

AshantiGold FC         0 - 0     Aduana Stars  05-Jul-15

Heart of Lions 0 - 0     AshantiGold FC         19-Jul-15

AshantiGold FC        0 - 0     Edubiase FC  22-Jul-15

Asante Kotoko            0 - 0     AshantiGold FC         26-Jul-15        

AshantiGold FC        0 - 0     Liberty Professionals            02-Aug-15

Bechem United           0 - 0     AshantiGold FC         05-Aug-15

AshantiGold FC         0 - 0     Medeama SC  09-Aug-15

Berekum Chelsea        0 - 0     AshantiGold FC         16-Aug-15      

AshantiGold FC        0 - 0     WAFA            06-Sep-15

Olympics         0 - 0     AshantiGold FC         13-Sep-15       

ANALYSIS

AshantiGold currently occupy the top spot with 37 points, They have a  total  home points of  26 from 10 home  matches, an average of 2.6 while they have  away points of 11, an average of 1.1 points from away games.

per the analysis, the team will pick 13 points from the remaining 5 home matches and pick 5 points from the remaining 5 away matches which will together give them 55 points.

37+13+5=55points

If AshantiGold maintain their past 5 years record of picking an average of 18 points in their last 10 league matches, then one can easily say they are run away league winners, the data below shows the performance of AshantiGold in the last five years (Their last 10 matches in the League)

2009/2010 W5 D3 L2 = 18 Points

2010/2011 W5 D3 L2 = 18 points

2011/2012 W4 D5 L1 = 17 points

2012/2013 W5 D1 L4 = 16 Points

2013/2014 W5 D2 L3 = 17 Points

Aduana Stars

They Occupy the second spot with 32 points now, and have picked 28 points from their 10 home matches, an average of  2.8 points per home match. Aduana has picked just 4 points from away, an average of 0.4 Points per match

Per the analysis, Aduana will pick 14 home points, and 2 away points from the remaining 10 matches.

32+14+2=48

Aduana Stars have an average of 14.8 points gain in their last 10 league matches in the last 5 years, with the exception of the 2009/2010 and the 2013/2014 season where they picked 17 points in their last 10 matches, the best they have done is to pick 14 points, if the trend continue for Aduana then our analysis of them picking 18 points in the last 10 matches this season will come to pass.

Below is their last 10 league matches in the last 5 years

2009/2010 W5 D2 L3 = 17

2010/2011 W4 D2 L4 = 14

2011/2012 W3 D4 L3 = 13

2012/2013 W4 D1 L5 = 13

2013/2014 W5 D2 L3= 17

Below is their last 10 league matches

AshantiGold FC           0 - 0     Aduana Stars   05-Jul-15

Aduana Stars  0 - 0     Hearts of Oak 19-Jul-15

Wa All Stars       0 - 0  Aduana Stars      22-Jul-15

Aduana Stars   0 - 0     Inter-Allies       26-Jul-15

BA Utd   0 - 0 Aduana Stars 02-Aug-15     

Aduana Stars  0 - 0     Hasaacas        05-Aug-15

Aduana Stars  0 - 0     Olympics         09-Aug-15

Heart of Lions 0 - 0     Aduana Stars   16-Aug-15

Aduana Stars   0 - 0     Edubiase FC    06-Sep-15       

Asante Kotoko 0 - 0     Aduana Stars   13-Sep-15

Asante Kotoko

They have picked 16 points from the 10 home matches, an average of 1.6 per match, and picked 12 points from away matches, an average of 12 points per match. Kotoko currently has 28 points, and for them to win the league, they have to defy the leagues average wins of 2.45 points and win all the remaining 10 matches, to get 30 points, and a total of 58 points.

If the trend remain as it is, Kotoko is likely to pick 8 points from home, but then they have games against certain opponents they have had historical advantage over at home in the league, and will therefore improve upon that trend, we therefore expect them to win 4 and draw 1, thereby giving them 13 home points from the possible 15. per  the trend, Kotoko is expected to pick 6 points from the remaining 15 points, but once again, they are unpredictable in matches against Hearts of Oak, and away against Hasaacas. Kotoko is highly unpredictable in the league, we therefore foresee them picking  8 points from the remaining 15 away points.

28+13+8=49

Asante Kotoko has an average of 17.8 points in their last 10 matches over the last 5 years, and that trend looks to continue this season

Below is their last 10 league matches in the last 5 years

2009/2010 W4 D2  L4 = 14

2010/2011 W5 D3 L2 = 18

2011/2012 W6 D3 L1 = 21

2012/2013 W6 D4 L0 = 22

2013/2014 W2 D3 L5 = 9

Below is their last 10 league matches

Medeama SC  0 - 0     Asante Kotoko            05-Jul-15

Asante Kotoko 0 - 0     Berekum Chelsea         19-Jul-15

WAFA 0 - 0     Asante Kotoko            22-Jul-15

Asante Kotoko 0 - 0     AshantiGold FC           26-Jul-15        

Hearts of Oak    0 - 0  Asante Kotoko  02-Aug-15

Asante Kotoko 0 - 0     Wa All Stars     05-Aug-15      

Inter-Allies      0 - 0     Asante Kotoko            09-Aug-15

Asante Kotoko 0 - 0     BA Utd            16-Aug-15

Hasaacas        0 - 0     Asante Kotoko            06-Sep-15

Asante Kotoko 0 - 0     Aduana Stars   13-Sep-15

Hearts of Oak

Another team worth considering in this Analysis is Accra Hearts of Oak, but as it stands now, they have 26 points, 11points adrift the top team, and must win four matches and expect the opposite to happen, beyond this, Hearts of Oak has relatively tough games away against Liberty Professionals, Medeama sc, and WAFA, and a tricky home game against Asante Kotoko, and Hearts of Lions,  we therefore do not see them making the top four position this year.

Berekum Chelsea

Berekum Chelsea  are not left out of the analysis, they have 30 points now with 5 home games against New Edubiase, Liberty Professionals, Medeama SC, AshantiGold, and Wa All stars, with their bad away record in the league which has seen them not win in 30 consecutive away league matches, Berekum Chelsea will likely settle for the fourth Spot, we believe Berekum Chelsea are capable of winning all their remaining home matches to give them 45 points

Wa All Stars

Even though the Wa based club has enjoyed a relatively good second round, they are still bad travelers, picking just 5 points, from a possible 30, the trend is likely to continue. If Wa All Stars continue their current good home form, then they are expected to pick 13 homes points from the possible 15, while we don't expect them to pick an away point, that will eventually give them 43 points in total at the end of the league.

WAFA

Below is their last 10 league matches

WAFA vs  Heart of Lions

Edubiase vs WAFA

WAFA vs Kotoko

Liberty vs  WAFA

WAFA  vs Bechem

Medeama vs  WAFA         

WAFA vs Chelsea

Olympics vs WAFA            

AshantiGold vs  WAFA

WAFA vs Hearts of Oak

WAFA are in the top four now with 30 points, and relatively good at home,  their last five home fixtures are matches that involves some of the "Big Boys" in the league (Hearts of Oak, Kotoko and Heart of Lions) these are difficult home matches for the Sogakope young lads, they will require extra effort to win all three.  WAFA is likely to pick 10 points from the remaining 15 home points available,   WAFA's last five away matches will be "hell" for them against New Edubiase, Liberty, AshantiGold, Medeama, and Great Olympics, with their bad away record in the league, the Analysis gives WAFA just 1 points from the remaining 5 away matches.  Therefore they are likely to end the league with 41 points.

WAFA 30+10+1=41

In the final Analysis, GhFootballFacts expect the top four to finish this way:

Ashanrigold  = 55 Points

Asante Kotoko = 49 Points

Aduana = 48 Points

Berekum Chelsea = 45Points

General Statistics :Ghana Premier League Week 20

FT      : New Edubiase 1 - 0 Medeama SC
Edubiase (Bismark Idun 83')

FT     : Olympics 1 - 0 Liberty
Olympics  (Godwin Attram 8'

FT     : Kotoko 2 - 1 Bechem United
Kotoko (Dauda Mohammed 19' Ahmed Toure 88'  pen)
Bechem (Ameenu Mohammed 65')

FT     : Heart of Lions 1 - 1 Berekum Chelsea
Lions (Osman Sackey 44'
Chelsea ( Asiwome Fumador 72')

FT     : Aduana Stars 1 - 0 WAFA
Aduana (Derrick Sasraku 57'

FT     : Hasaacas 2 - 0 AshGold
Hasaacas  (Frederick Quayson18' Benjamin Eshun 44' 

FT     : BA Utd 1 - 1 Hearts of Oak
BA (Nana Agyir 8' pen )
Hearts (Salasie Adjei 41') 

FT   : Inter-Allies 1 - 0 Wa All Stars
Allies (Baba Mensah 53' pen)

Week 20 Statistics
Goals Scored: 13
Number of Scorers : 13
Week 20 has 5 new Scorers
Average goals per match 1.62
Wins: 6
Draw : 2
Home win : 6
Away win : 0
Total Statistics After week 20
Total Goals scored :  342
Total Matches played: 160
Average : 2.13 per match
Total Goals scored (home) : 241
Total Goals scored (Away) : 101
Total number of 1st Half Goals - 163
Total number of 2nd half goals - 179
Total Wins : 121 (75.6%)
Total Draw : 39 (24.4%%)
Total Home wins : 106
Total Away wins: 15

Total Number of scorers : 139

NB:Bismark Idun' goal for New Edubiase vs Medeama sc is the season's 330th goal scored in the 83rd minute.

 Derrick Sasraku scored the league's 340th goal against WAFA in the 57th minute

TOP SCORERS

13- Nathaniel Asamoah (Medeama sc)

10 - Ahmed Toure(Asante Kotoko)

 9 - Nuhu Fuseini (New Edubiase)
    Stephen Baffour Asare (Berekum Chelsea)
     Kofi Owusu,(Berekum Chelsea)
      Kennedy Ashia (Liberty Professionals)

8 - Gilbert Fiamenyo (Hearts of Oak)
     Noah Martey (Bechem United)
     Yakubu Mohammed (Ashantigold) 

7 - Mohammed Sherrif Doe (Inter Allies )
     Mumuni Zakaria, Martin Antwi (WAFA)

6 - Richard Arhin (Aduana Stars)
    Bernard Morrison (Ashantigold)

5- Kwame Boateng (Great Olympics )
     Stephen Nyarko(Wa All Stars)

4 - Doetse Agbashie(Great Olympics)
    Nuhu Alhassan(New Edubiase )
    Muntaka Osman(Heart of Lions)
    Francis Kyeremeh(B.A. United)
    Samuel afful, Frederick Quayson (Hassacas )
    Dauda Mohammed(Kotoko)

3 - Francis Attuquaye(Great Olympics)
   Emmanuel Gyamfi(Wa All Stars)
    Bernard Ofori(New Edubiase )
     Emmanuel Ankobiah, Kojo Poku(Hassacas )
     Kennedy Kissi Boateng(WAFA)
     Emmanuel Asante, (Asante Kotoko )
    Ndiaye Benogo(Inter Allies )
    Kwame Boahen, Hans Kwoffie(Medeama sc)
   Yaw Anorl (BechemUnited )
      Latif Salifu(Berekum chelsea)
     Kweku Asuandzi Baffoe (Wa All Stars )
     Aminu Mohammed, Ernest Baffour(Bechem United )
     Bismark Idun (New Edubiase )

2- Amos Korankyi, Kingsley Adjei (Hassacas)
    Benjamin Bature,(Medeama)
    Latif Amadu, Jordan Opoku, Michael Akuffo, Prince Baffoe,(Asante Kotoko)
     Baffour Gyawu, Daniel Bonsu(Heart of Lions)
     Bennett Ofori(Berekum chelsea)
      Francis Larbi, Elvis opoku, Richard Addai, Godfred Saka(Aduana Stars)

     Salasie Adjei, Richard Yamoah, Isaac Oduro, Foovi Aguidi (Hearts of Oak)
       Alfred Azumah Nelson, Baba Zakari(Liberty)
        Petrus Shitembi, Didier Kore, Mumuni Shafiu, Tijani josuah(Ashantigold )
        Yakubu  Wadudu, Abdul Ganiyu Ismail(Wa All Stars)
         Nana Egyir,Mustapha Mohammed, Sellorm Djerado(B A United)
        Osman Sackey, Isaac Quansah,Prince Acquah(Heart of Lions)
         Eliasu Fuseini(Inter Allies)
         Daniel Appiah (Great Olympics)
1-Derrick Sasraku Daniel Darkwa, Sadick Abubakar (Aduana stars)
  Joseph Adjei,Paul De Vris Asare, Richard Arthur, Emmanuel Ocran(Wa All Stars)
  Richmond Lamptey,Samuel Tettey, Ashimeru Majeed, Umar Bashiru (WAFA)
   Benjamin Eshun  Ibrahim Suleman, Daniel Egyin  Roger Lamptey, Tenneson Opoku, (Hassacas)
  Zutah Tetteh Joseph, Nurudeen Ali og, Jacob apau Asiedu, Akwesi Dunso(Medeama sc)
   Malik Tahiru, James Boadi,Nasir Lamin, Ibrahim Samed, Aminu Dramani Felix            
  Afriyie(New Edubiase),
Emmanuel antwi, Tamimu Muntari, Bernard Arthur,   Kweku Stephen, Michael Appiah, Charles Dwamena, Latif Blessing (Liberty Professionals)
 Baba Mensah, Lord Ofosuhene,Frederick Boateng,Mensah Repapa Kwamina, Gockel Ahotor,  Evans Mensah(Inter Allies)
  Isaac Twum  ,Mohammed Razir ,Abdulai Abdul Karim, Tanko Mohammed    Samuel yeboah, , Asiamah Badu, (Heart of Lions)
Hamza Mohammed, Issah Adamu, Richard Baffour, Yaw Mensah (Bechem United)
Isaac danso ,Enoch gyimah, ,  Charles Oppong Moses Owusu, Felix Kwakye(B A United)
  Godwin Attram Godfred Asante, Emmanuel Martey, Edmund Sekyi(Great Olympics ), Arnold Bosson, Shaun October, Saban Laryea, Robin Gnange,(Hearts of Oak)
  Franci Adjei,Emmanuel Baffour, Emmanuel Osei,(Ashantigold)
  Asiwome Fumador,Samuel Kyere, Richard Adjei  (Berekum Chelsea )
 Ahmed Adams(Asante Kotoko )

TOTAL SCORERS - 139

11 Goals - 1 player
10 Goals - 1 @Player
9- Goals - 4 Players
8 Goals - 3 players
7 Goals - 2 Players
6 Goals  - 2 players
5 Goals  - 2 players
4 Goals  - 7 players
3 Goals  - 18 players
2 Goals  - 32 players
1 Goals  - 67 players

Stats source : records man ( Asikimila )